Comparative Risk of Activities
 

For all the "Danger of Cycling" advocates.

I recently came across a "COMPARATIVE RISK OF DIFFERENT ACTIVITIES"
listing estimates of Fatal Risk for a number of activities which was
published by " The Vehicular Cyclist", authored and maintained by
Avery Burdett. The data was compiled by Failure Analysis Associates,
Inc.

Skydiving - 128.71 fatalities per million hrs
On-road Motorcycling - 8.80
Scuba Diving - .98
Living (all causes of death) - .53
Swimming - 1.07
Passenger cars - .47
Bicycling - .26
Flying (scheduled domestic airlines) - .15
Traveling in a School Bus - .022
Home Living, active & passive (sleeping) - .014

Vehicular Cyclist is at http://www.vehicularcyclist.com/index.html
--
cheers,

John B.

Comparative Risk of Activities
 

Just as a fault check, 0.53 deaths per million hours of living implies a median life duration of 215 years by my napkin estimate? It makes me say "hmmm".

Comparative Risk of Activities
 

Chalo wrote:
Just as a fault check, 0.53 deaths per million hours of living implies a
median life duration of 215 years by my napkin estimate? It makes me say "hmmm".



I think that Frank also posted that data earlier, and I seem to recall the
"all causes" mortality rate was around 1.5 deaths per million hours, so
maybe whoever posted that data the second time typoed.

Comparative Risk of Activities
 

On Wednesday, April 10, 2019 at 12:56:50 AM UTC-7, Chalo wrote:
Just as a fault check, 0.53 deaths per million hours of living implies a median life duration of 215 years by my napkin estimate? It makes me say "hmmm".

it was a survey of Old Testament cyclists. https://i2.wp.com/dailynexus.com/wp-...ize=1024%2C799

-- Jay Beattie.

Comparative Risk of Activities
 

On Wednesday, April 10, 2019 at 2:56:50 AM UTC-5, Chalo wrote:
Just as a fault check, 0.53 deaths per million hours of living implies a median life duration of 215 years by my napkin estimate? It makes me say "hmmm".

I agree with Chalo.

365 days * 24 hours * 100 years in a century = 876,000 hours per century
1,000,000 hours of living and 0.53 deaths = 1,886,792 hours per life span
1,886,792 / 876,000 = 215.387 years of life
And if that is a Median, then 50% lived shorter than 215 years and 50% lived longer than 215 years. Cycling is healthy so the cyclists were probably in the longer than 215 year lifespan group.

Comparative Risk of Activities
 

On 4/10/2019 3:56 AM, Chalo wrote:
Just as a fault check, 0.53 deaths per million hours of living implies a median life duration of 215 years by my napkin estimate? It makes me say "hmmm".

Instead, it should make you say "John has posted a typo."

The actual figure given in that reference is 1.53 deaths per million
hours due to the activity called "living." See
http://www.vehicularcyclist.com/comparat.html

That works out to about 75 years average life. It's pretty reasonable.

--
- Frank Krygowski

Comparative Risk of Activities
 

On Tuesday, April 9, 2019 at 12:49:50 AM UTC-7, John B. wrote:
For all the "Danger of Cycling" advocates.

I recently came across a "COMPARATIVE RISK OF DIFFERENT ACTIVITIES"
listing estimates of Fatal Risk for a number of activities which was
published by " The Vehicular Cyclist", authored and maintained by
Avery Burdett. The data was compiled by Failure Analysis Associates,
Inc.

Skydiving - 128.71 fatalities per million hrs
On-road Motorcycling - 8.80
Scuba Diving - .98
Living (all causes of death) - .53
Swimming - 1.07
Passenger cars - .47
Bicycling - .26
Flying (scheduled domestic airlines) - .15
Traveling in a School Bus - .022
Home Living, active & passive (sleeping) - .014

Vehicular Cyclist is at http://www.vehicularcyclist.com/index.html
--
cheers,

John B.

I'm trying to think about this discussion. I cannot believe that anyone would accept those sorts of statistics in relation to an individual instead of a group so I assume this has become a running joke. But considering comments from people like John, one never knows.