On 26 Sep 2004 17:36:23 GMT, ( Doug Goncz ) wrote:

It's a ridiculous, patentable development some people will buy.

Later the price will go down. The quality may go up or down.

From where I sit, it looks like the price will fall only if one of two
things happen; the hub actually sells well enough to get mass-produced
by a more economical method than prototyping construction, or a
speculative investor has a mass-production run made either for
inclusion on a bike that will be marketed heavily, or for sale as a
separate unit. I doubt that the latter scenario will come to pass for
a variety of reasons[1], and at the current price, there's no danger
that the former will have any chance of obtaining.



[1] Pick one or mo Bike sales are not particularly brisk anyway,
and this thing's not sexy enough to change that; even mass-produced,
it wouldn't get into Wal-mart high-end territory, so it would still be
too boutiquey to attract the mass-market mentality; investors with the
funds are likely to be looking for a much less risky thing to back;
the patent may not be viewed as being defensible enough to keep the
investment from being endangered by copycats if the concept actually
sells; the product isn't viewed as being sufficiently proven to
attract an investor; it isn't available in blue; it wasn't invented by
a name-brand entity associated with somebody that has the clout to get
the backing.
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