Tom Kunich wrote:
On Saturday, April 4, 2020 at 6:38:04 AM UTC-7, Ralph Barone wrote:
The company testing the entire population of Telluride, CO for COVID-19
antibodies has reported some more definite preliminary results. Of nearly
1,000 people tested, 8 were found to have antibodies, and 23 had
intermediate or borderline results. This does not seem to agree with Tom’s
theory that most people have already had the disease.

https://www.cpr.org/2020/04/02/tellu...e-uncertainty/

Firstly Telluride is the last place you would expect the virus - away
from real population centers, in very clean air without pollution causing
previous lung damage and with a younger population that are active and
hence having a low incidence of coronary heart disease. How would the
virus be introduced in the first place? It isn't like Silicon Valley with
10% of the workers native Chinese.

Plus there is this: "So far, they have tested about 12 percent of the
county’s 8,200 residents. The state has reported results for about
three-tenths of one percent of Colorado’s total number of residents."


Certainly. New York or Seattle would be much better places to test today,
but that’s not what’s happening, so you have to take the data you have and
run with it.

However, I thought that your hypothesis was that this disease was at least
as infectious as others claim, but that the vast majority get it and don’t
even know it, and therefore we’re already at the peak of the pandemic as
opposed to going up the steep edge. This data does not support that
hypothesis. Also Telluride has a relatively highly rated ski resort, and
since some of the initial spread of the virus may have occurred at ski
resorts, the town could have had substantial exposure even though it’s away
from population centres.

I remain of the opinion that there’s still a lot more **** which hasn’t hit
the fan yet.