#261
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advisor wanted
On Fri, 25 Nov 2005 14:30:48 -0800, James Lane
said in : Your paranoia is showing. And your stupidity. If you understood CI and the range of activities that it encompasses, you would realize how dumb the statement was that I replied to. Your paranoia is showing. What I said was that a lot (i.e. not all) of CI is simply low-level data gathering. Of the type which you failed to do in the case of this debate, funnily enough. The site under question also states that it could not put up any of the other research due to copyright issues. That is a bogus way to skate out on it. No, it is absolutely accurate. I can give you copyright dates and holders of the research it does not print in full. Some holders are content to waive or extend copyright, others are not. That's just how it is. If you think it sucks, write to the New England Journal of Medicine and the Cochrane Collaboration and tell them so. More importantly, can you PROVE the site requested copyright permission from those it said it could not get clearance from? Or did they merely say that to keep that information from being available? THAT is the issue. Stay focused. See if you can find the full text of those reports /anywhere/ on the web, including at helmet advocacy sites like BHSI. Or do you denounce every site discussing this issue as lacking credibility because none of them include full text of the reports? Are they unwilling or is that just some bs? I seriously doubt the veracity of that claim as it is also used to expalin why NO OTHER research to the opposite is included. Not just that one study. Of course they are unwilling! They make money from reprints! Jeez, anyone would think you'd never asked a commercial publisher for permission to publish their copyright material on a website or something! Bull. Prove they refused, put up the denial of use. Everyone makes money from reprints, but usually allow fair usage in covering their papers. And at that, it could be paraphrased without permission. Don't be an idiot. Why on earth should it be necessary to "prove" that a copyright holder has withheld permission to freely distribute copyrighted material? Your contention is absurd. Very few, if any, academic journals grant free access to their contents. Like I say, see if you can find the full text /anywhere/ on the web. I understand perfectly well what you are doing: you are looking for excuses not to believe the conclusions, based on your failure to actually read the evidence. Wrong, nice ASSumption, but not a fact in sight. I always look at the reporting sources initially to see where they are coming from, are they fair and balanced or one-sided and if the latter, what axes they are grinding. Any, ANY, researcher would the name does that initially. Ah, so when you read the 1989 Seattle study, what did you make of the differences between the study populations in tables 3, 4 and 5? If you'd devoted a tenth of the energy to pursuing the evidence that you've devoted to arguing, you'd be a lot better informed. And if you devoted a tenth the energy to not making it necessary for me to repeat myself ad nauseum, I would have more time to do these things. Ridiculous. Nobody asked you to come along and debate from ignorance. The fact that it took several exchanges before you acknowledged that you are woefully uninformed is a point against you, not me! You also cite BHSI as an authority. That site also fails to print the contents of the studies you want to see, and for the same reason. And that site certainly fails any objectivity test which cyclehelmets.org would fail. I have not cited anyone as an authority. Wishful thinking on your part. I merely said they have a summary of helmet standards. They do. They also state that CPSC is equivalent to a previous SNELL standard. True or not, I do not know, but will be looking at the actual standards (once I get fully back to this desk). So, you cited them as an authority, then, as stated. And as it happens, they are wrong, contradicted by Snell ("However, those helmets passing Snell's B-95 or N-94 standard will automatically qualify because Snell's standards exceed CPSC's", from the Snell Memorial Foundation website) and also contradicted by a reading of the standards. You have read them and compared them, haven't you? Also, as stated, CPSC is self-certified with no external validation, whereas Snell is serial numbered, externally validated and lot-traceable. So here's what you do: go away and read the evidence. Come back then. In the mean time, shut up, because Tony and I know substantially more about the evidence than you do. You haven't even read the evidence which underpins your own position, let alone the opposing one! You might know more, but you cannot pose as anything other than what you are - anti-helmet. You might know more, but your level of research seems to skip right over the basics of examining the reporting source. So you keep saying. That statement is at odds with the documented evidence, per my website, which has several pictures of me wearing my magic foam hat. In fact, the allegation of being "anti-helmet" is probably the single most common strawman used by zealots to try to attack sceptics. What I am is a sceptic. I am not campaigning for laws to ban helmet use, in the way that zealots campaign for laws to mandate them. I have read the evidence on both sides and find that, on balance, there is as much evidence indicating no effect as there is indicating effect, and that the pro-helmet evidence is invariably of a type well known to be vulnerable to confounding, often wrong and sometimes very badly wrong. All this is documented. You don't appear to have done stage 1 of the basic research yet. Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
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#262
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advisor wanted
On Fri, 25 Nov 2005 14:33:13 -0800, James Lane
said in : So why did you keep arguing for so long after it became apparent that you were deeply unfamiliar with the subject on which you were tackling people who have spent some considerable time researching it? That's a rhetorical question, by the way. But my answer is not. I have been talking about the reporting source, in case that flies right over your head for the dozenth time. That I do know something about, at least enough to examine where they are coming from and are they grinding an axe - something that went right over your head, pitiable researcher that you claim to be. I make no claims to be a researcher, I am just a reasonably intelligent person whose response to being informed of the conflicting evidence was to go out and read it, rather than attack everybody who contradicted my cherished beliefs. And the fact is that one of your major grounds for criticism of the sceptical side is that we are unwilling to persuade prestigious academic journals to waive copyright in order to save you the effort of a trip to the library. Sorry, but that's just how it is. I had to get the data from the library, from authors and from the publishers by paying them actual money. I was interested enough to actually do that. It seems you are more concerned to maintain your cherished beliefs than to find out any facts. In the case of other religious believers who refuse to read or address sceptical work, this is often an indication of a deeper insecurity in the strength of their faith, so I hold out some small hope that you might one day come to address the evidence rather than the messenger. Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
#263
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advisor wanted
On Fri, 25 Nov 2005 14:36:28 -0800, James Lane
said in : Do feel free to give me named examples of people campaigning for laws banning helmet use. Have to check with those Harley people, I think they tried in various states, but lost. Of course, the antis may not try it because they know they would be soundly thrashed, but instead of at least putting up a legislative fight, they prefer to snipe from the sidelines, chickens that they are. No, they were campaigning *against* laws to *compel* helmet use, a completely different situation. And in some cases they succeeded, around half of states currently allow unhelmeted motorcycling. Funnily enough, those also appear to be the states with the lowest motorcyclist casualty rates - which is chicken and which egg is hard to say. You are once again confusing scepticism with opposition. It is reasonable to be sceptical, it is the default position in science generally. It is reasonable to require those proposing an intervention to prove their case. I wonder why, with all that evidence that gives credence to their position, why they are afraid to fight for what they believe. Makes one wonder doesn't it. You seem to be denouncing sceptics on the grounds that they will not go try to force their views on others in the way zealots do. No, even that does not express the full absurdity of your position, since most sceptics are in favour of allowing personal choice. What you are actually doing is denouncing sceptics for failing to accept only one side of the debate! Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
#264
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advisor wanted
On Wed, 23 Nov 2005 07:26:48 -0800, SMS
said in : What is true is that there is no conclusive proof that wearing a helmet reduces the chance of a head-impact collision, and the number of such collisions is sufficiently rare that over the whole bicycling population the statistical difference in death and injuries for helmeted versus non-helmeted cyclists is insignificant. However there is conclusive proof that in the event of a head impact accident, a helmet greatly reduces the severity of injury, and reduces the likelihood that the injury will turn into a fatality. For values of "conclusive proof" which excludes any whole population actually demonstrating a reduction in head injury rates from an increase in helmet use (and several showing the exact opposite). Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
#265
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advisor wanted
On Tue, 22 Nov 2005 14:27:00 -0800, SMS
said in : Be sure to get a Snell approved helmet (B90 is the most commonly available bicycle helmet). The most commonly available helmet in the US is CPSC certified, not Snell, and B95 is the current standard. Many bicycle stores in the U.S. sell Snell certified helmets, in fact I just purchased one two days ago. B95 is not so common, because it requires more of a full-face helmet, i.e. Nope. B95 does not require full-face, it's just that some full-face lids conform to B95. The Specialized Allez is not full-face, and is listed as B95A certified. You are also evading the point: in the US, CPSC is the dominant standard, according the evidence I can find. Please feel free to cite otherwise, but given that the market leader is not Snell certified this may be difficult. The CPSC helmets are more common because it's a lesser standard, easier to meet and the manufacturer can self-certify. Correct. That is precisely my point. Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
#266
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On Fri, 25 Nov 2005 15:01:21 -0800, James Lane
said in : Of course, missing is B-90S because Bell probably meets that as there are minor differences between that and CPSC. One of which is external validation. So, line by line, what are the differences between the two standards? Or are you making it up again? My friend Brian Walker, the helmet tester, tells me there are differences; I only have the Snell standards so I have to rely on him. Who's your source? And according to Brian both CPSC and EN1078 are both weaker than Snell B85. Neither standards body has disputed this, to my knowledge. Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
#267
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advisor wanted
Just zis Guy, you know? wrote:
Or are you making it up again? I find it fascinating that someone who claims to do CI for a living consistently makes bold statements without having done the most basic investigation first. -- Tony "The best way I know of to win an argument is to start by being in the right." - Lord Hailsham |
#268
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advisor wanted
On Wed, 23 Nov 2005 18:32:52 -0800, SMS
said in : The studies have been posted in every helmet thread. Those that have a philosophical opposition to helmets simply will not believe them. Once again you accuse others of your own worst fault. The conflicting evidence has been detailed for you every single time you have repeated this falsehood, and every single time you have continued to assert that "all" the evidence agrees, when it patently does not. Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
#269
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advisor wanted
On Thu, 24 Nov 2005 09:07:12 -0800, SMS
said in : In fact I have never maintained that. What I have stated, and what every lighting expert agrees with, is that the brighter, battery powered lights provide more visibility, make you more visible, and are hence safer. Really? So you can cite published, peer-reviewed studies can you? Excellent news: I've been looking for conclusive proof that lighting improves safety for some time, and as yet have found nothing but proof by assertion. Please cite fully, so I can follow them up. Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
#270
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advisor wanted
On Fri, 25 Nov 2005 16:08:45 +0000, Peter Clinch
said in : Wearing body armour will arguably make you safer than not wearing it, but that in itself is not enough reason to make people wear it. If safety is really your #1 indisputable priority you would be, but for almost everyone it turns out it isn't... This might apply where there is actual published evidence to support the device increasing safety, but this appears absent in the case of lights (let alone massively bright vs. adequately bright lights). Guy -- http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk "To every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, neat and wrong" - HL Mencken |
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