#131
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Fun with exponents
On 5/28/2020 3:07 PM, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Wed, 27 May 2020 21:12:18 -0500, AMuzi wrote: a quick search gives many results for buying pasticizers. This seems relevant but I can't view past the 1st paragraph: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/n...suits-science/ "But plasticizers eventually leach out of plastic as acidic, corrosive outgassing, and speed plastic breakdown." The article is interesting, but doesn't explain anything about the chemistry involved, which plastics are affected, or if anything can be done to fix the problem or salvage the plastic. My main interest is in the decomposition of the rubberized paint found on many computer accessories, laptops, phones, and similar products. The rubber depolymerizes into a sticky black goo. I suspect this is intentional where some companies (i.e. Logitech) are using it as a sales enhancer. (Everything is a conspiracy). Oddly, various LDPE plastics show fairly low volatiles. See: NASA Outgassing Materials https://outgassing.nasa.gov/index.cgi https://outgassing.nasa.gov/cgi/uncgi/search/search_html.sh https://outgassing.nasa.gov/help/og_help.html TML = Total Mass Loss CVCM = Collected Volatile Condensable Material I'll dig some more when I have time. I barely tolerate paywalls. Delete the National Geographic related cookies from your web browser and hit refresh. That should give you 3 more articles that you can view before the paywall bites you again. Hmmm... that didn't work too well with the National Geographic paywall. I get a pop-up for creating an account. After removing the related cookies, when I hit refresh, the pop-up appears again after 15 seconds. So, I speed read, refresh, speed read, etc. Sigh. I seem to recall that of the two major plastics groups, Bakelite and Celluloid don't do that and polyvinyls do. Unclear on that point, sorry I can't search right now -- Andrew Muzi www.yellowjersey.org/ Open every day since 1 April, 1971 |
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#132
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Fun with exponents
On 5/28/2020 3:37 PM, AMuzi wrote:
On 5/28/2020 11:37 AM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/28/2020 10:21 AM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 9:38 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 4:36 PM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 2:36 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 1:43 PM, wrote: Only someone in a financially secure position could ignore the pain and suffering of people whose source of income has been cut off... Only a person who has no friend or family infected or seriously at risk could ignore the pain and suffering of those with COVID. ... for no reasons whatsoever. That's the view of a person with zero qualifications, despite strong disagreement from qualified experts in every country worldwide. It is not heartless to observe that there is no correlation between punishment and mortality rates. There are definitely fatal policy errors (and Mr Cuomo made more than a few of them. He's not alone.) but destroying lives, income, businesses, wealth, opportunity and hope has not meant less death, just more suffering among the living. Again, "punishment" is a deliberately loaded word. Things like social distancing orders and travel restrictions were intended to protect, not punish. And again, those measures have worked extremely well in many places. Look how excellently Hawaii has done! Less than 20 deaths last I looked. Isn't it obvious that can only be due to the 'stay-at-home' orders? ;-) That is not at all obvious. New York?? Chicago?? IOW, you mean that despite attempts at protective regulations, New York and Chicago had lots of cases. And I mean that because of protective regulations, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, Maine, Kansas etc. did really well. They did exceptionally well in their rural areas. So perhaps we should look at less extreme outliers? Is there a chance that the regulations did have significant benefit, but that in super-dense cities other factors contributed to super-spreading? Perhaps one factor was ignoring the regulations? And is there a chance that without those regulations, the super-spreading would have been far, far worse? That's what epidemiologists around the world seem to think. In my county there has been widespread disregard for the "Because I Said So" rules with almost no fatal events[1]. You could posit that we all enjoy super immune systems but there's so far no correlation between punishment of the citizenry and positive outcomes.Â* Again, Japan advised her citizens and then stopped short of destroying the society, with good results. New York, especially NYC, tried to micromanage life to the smallest detail with abysmal outcome. Have you ever tried to tell a New Yorker what to do? Heck, I remember seeing a photo of a guy from Queens looking at the last solar eclipse with no eye protection! My serious point is this: Coronavirus transmission is a multi-variable problem. You can't say "New York City had lots of cases so its restrictions did nothing." Population density is almost certainly a factor. Actual adherence to restrictions or recommendations is almost certainly another factor - something I'd expect Japanese to do far better than New Yorkers. Culture may be a factor - the relative isolation of American suburban life vs. the dense daily multi-generation contact in many other countries. And there's no telling how bad New York City might have gotten without restrictions. Certainly some rules are now considered mistaken for various reasons. Some were based on then-best knowledge that has now been changed or improved. (The effect of face masks seems to be one example.) Some rules were judgment calls based on people's likely responses, but people responded differently. Some rules still make no sense to me. And yes, everyone understands the economic hit has been terrible. But it's only a fringe contingent that's pretending we should have kept everything running exactly as before. Certainly, all (and I mean ALL) the people I hang out with are being very cautious. They seem to be in agreement with the bulk of the world's epidemiologists. It's interesting to me that I hear only about an American fringe contingent skeptics; and that they tend to spout rationales plucked from American right-wing media. Maybe our posters from other countries can comment on any "resistance" groups in their countries? -- - Frank Krygowski |
#133
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Fun with exponents
On 5/28/2020 4:07 PM, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Wed, 27 May 2020 21:12:18 -0500, AMuzi wrote: a quick search gives many results for buying pasticizers. This seems relevant but I can't view past the 1st paragraph: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/n...suits-science/ "But plasticizers eventually leach out of plastic as acidic, corrosive outgassing, and speed plastic breakdown." The article is interesting, but doesn't explain anything about the chemistry involved, which plastics are affected, or if anything can be done to fix the problem or salvage the plastic. My main interest is in the decomposition of the rubberized paint found on many computer accessories, laptops, phones, and similar products. The rubber depolymerizes into a sticky black goo. I suspect this is intentional where some companies (i.e. Logitech) are using it as a sales enhancer. (Everything is a conspiracy). Oddly, various LDPE plastics show fairly low volatiles. See: NASA Outgassing Materials https://outgassing.nasa.gov/index.cgi https://outgassing.nasa.gov/cgi/uncgi/search/search_html.sh https://outgassing.nasa.gov/help/og_help.html TML = Total Mass Loss CVCM = Collected Volatile Condensable Material I'll dig some more when I have time. I barely tolerate paywalls. Delete the National Geographic related cookies from your web browser and hit refresh. That should give you 3 more articles that you can view before the paywall bites you again. Hmmm... that didn't work too well with the National Geographic paywall. I get a pop-up for creating an account. After removing the related cookies, when I hit refresh, the pop-up appears again after 15 seconds. So, I speed read, refresh, speed read, etc. Sigh. I find that jumping between different browsers sometimes works, especially with periodically deleting all cookies. -- - Frank Krygowski |
#135
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Fun with exponents
On Thu, 28 May 2020 14:37:04 -0500, AMuzi wrote:
On 5/28/2020 11:37 AM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/28/2020 10:21 AM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 9:38 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 4:36 PM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 2:36 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 1:43 PM, wrote: Only someone in a financially secure position could ignore the pain and suffering of people whose source of income has been cut off... Only a person who has no friend or family infected or seriously at risk could ignore the pain and suffering of those with COVID. ... for no reasons whatsoever. That's the view of a person with zero qualifications, despite strong disagreement from qualified experts in every country worldwide. It is not heartless to observe that there is no correlation between punishment and mortality rates. There are definitely fatal policy errors (and Mr Cuomo made more than a few of them. He's not alone.) but destroying lives, income, businesses, wealth, opportunity and hope has not meant less death, just more suffering among the living. Again, "punishment" is a deliberately loaded word. Things like social distancing orders and travel restrictions were intended to protect, not punish. And again, those measures have worked extremely well in many places. Look how excellently Hawaii has done! Less than 20 deaths last I looked. Isn't it obvious that can only be due to the 'stay-at-home' orders? ;-) That is not at all obvious. New York?? Chicago?? IOW, you mean that despite attempts at protective regulations, New York and Chicago had lots of cases. And I mean that because of protective regulations, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, Maine, Kansas etc. did really well. They did exceptionally well in their rural areas. So perhaps we should look at less extreme outliers? Is there a chance that the regulations did have significant benefit, but that in super-dense cities other factors contributed to super-spreading? Perhaps one factor was ignoring the regulations? And is there a chance that without those regulations, the super-spreading would have been far, far worse? That's what epidemiologists around the world seem to think. In my county there has been widespread disregard for the "Because I Said So" rules with almost no fatal events[1]. You could posit that we all enjoy super immune systems but there's so far no correlation between punishment of the citizenry and positive outcomes. Again, Japan advised her citizens and then stopped short of destroying the society, with good results. New York, especially NYC, tried to micromanage life to the smallest detail with abysmal outcome. You keep saying that but just it isn't really true. There is even a wiki page listing the Japanese response on a practically day by day basis. But no, they didn't impose draconian regulations on their people they simply told them what to do and the Japanese being Japanese did what they were told to do. As opposed to the U.S. approach that "I'm going to do just as I damned please no matter what you tell me to do". There really are "different strokes for different folks". [1]One death on 29 March in an elder care facility, none since. -- cheers, John B. |
#136
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Fun with exponents
On Thursday, May 28, 2020 at 4:02:12 PM UTC-7, John B. wrote:
On Thu, 28 May 2020 14:37:04 -0500, AMuzi wrote: On 5/28/2020 11:37 AM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/28/2020 10:21 AM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 9:38 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 4:36 PM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 2:36 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 1:43 PM, wrote: Only someone in a financially secure position could ignore the pain and suffering of people whose source of income has been cut off... Only a person who has no friend or family infected or seriously at risk could ignore the pain and suffering of those with COVID. ... for no reasons whatsoever. That's the view of a person with zero qualifications, despite strong disagreement from qualified experts in every country worldwide. It is not heartless to observe that there is no correlation between punishment and mortality rates. There are definitely fatal policy errors (and Mr Cuomo made more than a few of them. He's not alone.) but destroying lives, income, businesses, wealth, opportunity and hope has not meant less death, just more suffering among the living. Again, "punishment" is a deliberately loaded word. Things like social distancing orders and travel restrictions were intended to protect, not punish. And again, those measures have worked extremely well in many places. Look how excellently Hawaii has done! Less than 20 deaths last I looked. Isn't it obvious that can only be due to the 'stay-at-home' orders? ;-) That is not at all obvious. New York?? Chicago?? IOW, you mean that despite attempts at protective regulations, New York and Chicago had lots of cases. And I mean that because of protective regulations, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, Maine, Kansas etc. did really well. They did exceptionally well in their rural areas. So perhaps we should look at less extreme outliers? Is there a chance that the regulations did have significant benefit, but that in super-dense cities other factors contributed to super-spreading? Perhaps one factor was ignoring the regulations? And is there a chance that without those regulations, the super-spreading would have been far, far worse? That's what epidemiologists around the world seem to think. In my county there has been widespread disregard for the "Because I Said So" rules with almost no fatal events[1]. You could posit that we all enjoy super immune systems but there's so far no correlation between punishment of the citizenry and positive outcomes. Again, Japan advised her citizens and then stopped short of destroying the society, with good results. New York, especially NYC, tried to micromanage life to the smallest detail with abysmal outcome. You keep saying that but just it isn't really true. There is even a wiki page listing the Japanese response on a practically day by day basis. But no, they didn't impose draconian regulations on their people they simply told them what to do and the Japanese being Japanese did what they were told to do. As opposed to the U.S. approach that "I'm going to do just as I damned please no matter what you tell me to do". There really are "different strokes for different folks". [1]One death on 29 March in an elder care facility, none since. "I woke up in a free country!" [as told to fascist Costco employee]. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1xCJa-qltY Say goodbye to the cheap paper towels. Its the price of liberty! BTW, you didn't wake up in a free Costco. Try getting in without your membership card. -- Jay Beattie. |
#137
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Fun with exponents
On 5/28/2020 6:46 PM, jbeattie wrote:
On Thursday, May 28, 2020 at 4:02:12 PM UTC-7, John B. wrote: On Thu, 28 May 2020 14:37:04 -0500, AMuzi wrote: On 5/28/2020 11:37 AM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/28/2020 10:21 AM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 9:38 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 4:36 PM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 2:36 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 1:43 PM, wrote: Only someone in a financially secure position could ignore the pain and suffering of people whose source of income has been cut off... Only a person who has no friend or family infected or seriously at risk could ignore the pain and suffering of those with COVID. ... for no reasons whatsoever. That's the view of a person with zero qualifications, despite strong disagreement from qualified experts in every country worldwide. It is not heartless to observe that there is no correlation between punishment and mortality rates. There are definitely fatal policy errors (and Mr Cuomo made more than a few of them. He's not alone.) but destroying lives, income, businesses, wealth, opportunity and hope has not meant less death, just more suffering among the living. Again, "punishment" is a deliberately loaded word. Things like social distancing orders and travel restrictions were intended to protect, not punish. And again, those measures have worked extremely well in many places. Look how excellently Hawaii has done! Less than 20 deaths last I looked. Isn't it obvious that can only be due to the 'stay-at-home' orders? ;-) That is not at all obvious. New York?? Chicago?? IOW, you mean that despite attempts at protective regulations, New York and Chicago had lots of cases. And I mean that because of protective regulations, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, Maine, Kansas etc. did really well. They did exceptionally well in their rural areas. So perhaps we should look at less extreme outliers? Is there a chance that the regulations did have significant benefit, but that in super-dense cities other factors contributed to super-spreading? Perhaps one factor was ignoring the regulations? And is there a chance that without those regulations, the super-spreading would have been far, far worse? That's what epidemiologists around the world seem to think. In my county there has been widespread disregard for the "Because I Said So" rules with almost no fatal events[1]. You could posit that we all enjoy super immune systems but there's so far no correlation between punishment of the citizenry and positive outcomes. Again, Japan advised her citizens and then stopped short of destroying the society, with good results. New York, especially NYC, tried to micromanage life to the smallest detail with abysmal outcome. You keep saying that but just it isn't really true. There is even a wiki page listing the Japanese response on a practically day by day basis. But no, they didn't impose draconian regulations on their people they simply told them what to do and the Japanese being Japanese did what they were told to do. As opposed to the U.S. approach that "I'm going to do just as I damned please no matter what you tell me to do". There really are "different strokes for different folks". [1]One death on 29 March in an elder care facility, none since. "I woke up in a free country!" [as told to fascist Costco employee]. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1xCJa-qltY Say goodbye to the cheap paper towels. Its the price of liberty! BTW, you didn't wake up in a free Costco. Try getting in without your membership card. -- Jay Beattie. At the diner where I take my morning coffee there's the occasional person with a mask but those are rare. I otherwise haven't seen them except driving, where some people drive on the Interstate with a mask, alone in their own car. Weird. -- Andrew Muzi www.yellowjersey.org/ Open every day since 1 April, 1971 |
#138
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Fun with exponents
On 5/28/2020 3:07 PM, Jeff Liebermann wrote:
On Wed, 27 May 2020 21:12:18 -0500, AMuzi wrote: a quick search gives many results for buying pasticizers. This seems relevant but I can't view past the 1st paragraph: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/n...suits-science/ "But plasticizers eventually leach out of plastic as acidic, corrosive outgassing, and speed plastic breakdown." The article is interesting, but doesn't explain anything about the chemistry involved, which plastics are affected, or if anything can be done to fix the problem or salvage the plastic. My main interest is in the decomposition of the rubberized paint found on many computer accessories, laptops, phones, and similar products. The rubber depolymerizes into a sticky black goo. I suspect this is intentional where some companies (i.e. Logitech) are using it as a sales enhancer. (Everything is a conspiracy). Oddly, various LDPE plastics show fairly low volatiles. See: NASA Outgassing Materials https://outgassing.nasa.gov/index.cgi https://outgassing.nasa.gov/cgi/uncgi/search/search_html.sh https://outgassing.nasa.gov/help/og_help.html TML = Total Mass Loss CVCM = Collected Volatile Condensable Material I'll dig some more when I have time. I barely tolerate paywalls. Delete the National Geographic related cookies from your web browser and hit refresh. That should give you 3 more articles that you can view before the paywall bites you again. Hmmm... that didn't work too well with the National Geographic paywall. I get a pop-up for creating an account. After removing the related cookies, when I hit refresh, the pop-up appears again after 15 seconds. So, I speed read, refresh, speed read, etc. Sigh. A bit of Internet wandering shows the groups I could not remember are thermoplatic and thermoset, the latter being generally less volatile. There's a NASA paper on outgassing tests in vacuum for materials used in outer space. Also, some indication that both thermoplastic urethanes and thermoset urethanes can have low volatility. It's not such a bright line between groups as I thought. -- Andrew Muzi www.yellowjersey.org/ Open every day since 1 April, 1971 |
#139
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Fun with exponents
On Thu, 28 May 2020 16:44:29 -0400, Frank Krygowski
wrote: On 5/28/2020 3:37 PM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/28/2020 11:37 AM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/28/2020 10:21 AM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 9:38 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 4:36 PM, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 2:36 PM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 1:43 PM, wrote: Only someone in a financially secure position could ignore the pain and suffering of people whose source of income has been cut off... Only a person who has no friend or family infected or seriously at risk could ignore the pain and suffering of those with COVID. ... for no reasons whatsoever. That's the view of a person with zero qualifications, despite strong disagreement from qualified experts in every country worldwide. It is not heartless to observe that there is no correlation between punishment and mortality rates. There are definitely fatal policy errors (and Mr Cuomo made more than a few of them. He's not alone.) but destroying lives, income, businesses, wealth, opportunity and hope has not meant less death, just more suffering among the living. Again, "punishment" is a deliberately loaded word. Things like social distancing orders and travel restrictions were intended to protect, not punish. And again, those measures have worked extremely well in many places. Look how excellently Hawaii has done! Less than 20 deaths last I looked. Isn't it obvious that can only be due to the 'stay-at-home' orders? ;-) That is not at all obvious. New York?? Chicago?? IOW, you mean that despite attempts at protective regulations, New York and Chicago had lots of cases. And I mean that because of protective regulations, Hawaii, Nevada, New Mexico, Maine, Kansas etc. did really well. They did exceptionally well in their rural areas. So perhaps we should look at less extreme outliers? Is there a chance that the regulations did have significant benefit, but that in super-dense cities other factors contributed to super-spreading? Perhaps one factor was ignoring the regulations? And is there a chance that without those regulations, the super-spreading would have been far, far worse? That's what epidemiologists around the world seem to think. In my county there has been widespread disregard for the "Because I Said So" rules with almost no fatal events[1]. You could posit that we all enjoy super immune systems but there's so far no correlation between punishment of the citizenry and positive outcomes.* Again, Japan advised her citizens and then stopped short of destroying the society, with good results. New York, especially NYC, tried to micromanage life to the smallest detail with abysmal outcome. Have you ever tried to tell a New Yorker what to do? Heck, I remember seeing a photo of a guy from Queens looking at the last solar eclipse with no eye protection! My serious point is this: Coronavirus transmission is a multi-variable problem. You can't say "New York City had lots of cases so its restrictions did nothing." Population density is almost certainly a factor. Actual adherence to restrictions or recommendations is almost certainly another factor - something I'd expect Japanese to do far better than New Yorkers. Culture may be a factor - the relative isolation of American suburban life vs. the dense daily multi-generation contact in many other countries. And there's no telling how bad New York City might have gotten without restrictions. Certainly some rules are now considered mistaken for various reasons. Some were based on then-best knowledge that has now been changed or improved. (The effect of face masks seems to be one example.) Some rules were judgment calls based on people's likely responses, but people responded differently. Some rules still make no sense to me. And yes, everyone understands the economic hit has been terrible. But it's only a fringe contingent that's pretending we should have kept everything running exactly as before. Certainly, all (and I mean ALL) the people I hang out with are being very cautious. They seem to be in agreement with the bulk of the world's epidemiologists. It's interesting to me that I hear only about an American fringe contingent skeptics; and that they tend to spout rationales plucked from American right-wing media. Maybe our posters from other countries can comment on any "resistance" groups in their countries? Well here the government imposed rather strict rules as "emergency regulations", The closed the borders, some provinces even closed their borders, set up over 500 police checks on highways to control travel, closed all shops and businesses except those selling food and medicines, banned all gatherings, outlawed alcohol beverages (Thais like to get together over a few beers), imposed a curfew, and imposed and enforced penalties such as 10,000 baht fines - minimum salary is 300 baht per day - and/or two months in jail, for disobeying the emergency regulations. As of the 15th of the month some of the regulations were relaxed, all shops and stores are now open, alcohol is sold, and the hours of the curfew relaxed. But, all of the larger malls and stores still require face masks and a temperature check before allowing you to enter and social distancing is the norm. A week or so ago one of the major "newspapers" conducted a survey and approximately 75% of those surveyed agreed with the government's acts. As an aside, color coordinated face masks are now quite the rage among the fairer sex :-) I bought my wife several but she complained that they didn't match her dresses :-( -- cheers, John B. |
#140
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Fun with exponents
On Thu, 28 May 2020 15:40:36 -0500, AMuzi wrote:
On 5/28/2020 3:00 PM, Radey Shouman wrote: AMuzi writes: On 5/27/2020 7:21 PM, John B. wrote: On Wed, 27 May 2020 11:42:30 -0500, AMuzi wrote: On 5/27/2020 11:29 AM, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/27/2020 11:42 AM, wrote: On Tuesday, May 26, 2020 at 7:17:19 PM UTC-7, Jeff Liebermann wrote: On Tue, 26 May 2020 15:18:53 -0700 (PDT), wrote: On Tuesday, May 26, 2020 at 10:46:36 AM UTC-7, Jeff Liebermann wrote: On Tue, 26 May 2020 08:30:38 -0700 (PDT), wrote: I have a very low respect for doctors because so few of them want to be competent. Top of the list in that category is Dr. Fauci of the CDC who has continually acted an expert at things he knows very little about. Dr Fauci has been director of the NIAID (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases) since 1984. He does NOT work for the CDC. NIAID is part of the NIH (National Institute of Health). He's has been involved with controlling several previous epidemics, which I presume qualifies as experience: https://www.niaid.nih.gov/about/anthony-s-fauci-md-bio https://www.niaid.nih.gov/about/director https://www.niaid.nih.gov/about/niaid-history Can you provide the name of someone in the US who is better qualified to discuss pandemics than Dr Fauci? There is a place for those who sit around, think and read papers. I do not deny Fauci that much. But he is not working in the real world as many other epidemiologists are and they often interview them on FOX and they ALL say what I've been saying. There isn't much you can do about a pandemic with a linear growth rate. I see. You want to be advised on how to protect yourself from a viral epidemic by an epidemiologist via Fox News. I don't think that's what you intended to say, but that's what you wrote. You also seem to have changed your position on Dr Fauci from: "Dr. Fauci of the CDC(sic) who has continually acted an expert at things he knows very little about." to: "I do not deny Fauci that much." That's quite a change from calling the leading expert on infectious diseases in the US an incompetent, to not denying him something you didn't bother to specify. Of course, you're entitled to have an opinion about anyone and anything, but I'm also entitled to discount your opinion as rubbish. Anyway, kindly stabilize your opinion about Dr Fauci. If it's critical, please provide the name of someone in the US that is equally or more qualified to advise on how to handle a pandemic. Incidentally, I could probably provide some names in China that are substantially more qualified and equally experienced, but such experts would not be considered as candidates for advising our president, who knows more than any or all of them, Here's one candidate that might have qualified had he not resigned for having is bureau eliminated by the Trump administration: "A top pandemic expert is leaving the Trump administration amid the coronavirus crisis" https://www.businessinsider.com/top-pandemic-expert-leaving-the-trump-administration-amid-coronavirus-2020-5 No bicycle related content this time. Sorry(tm). -- Jeff Liebermann 150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558 The leading expert? Jeff, that is about the most foolish thing that you could say. Fauci is NOT an expert. Sitting around in hallowed halls of government does NOT make you an expert. The epidemiologists in the field say the opposite and that you like some sort of moron deny that they know anything for the simple reason that they are interviewed on FOX shows that you are nothing more than some stupid biased punk. Your homework, Tom: !) Find or assemble a CV for Dr. Anthony Fauci. I say that because you obviously know very, very little about him. 2) Find or assemble a CV for the guy you allude to whom Faux News managed to dig up. Analyze and compare those to prove to us that your guy with his predictable complaints is more qualified than Fauci. We'll even give bonus points for a little more work: 3) Give us your own CV. Show us why we should listen to your opinions on epidemiology... and history, genetics, theology, ballistics, human anatomy, politics, engineering, medicine, sociology, geology, meteorology, technology, etc. You know - all the other things about which you, as a high school dropout, claim to be much smarter than hundreds of trained, experienced, and recognized experts. Fauci is probably a successful agency administrator and political survivor who knows something but surely not everything. Dr John Ionnidis who's no slouch in the area has different opinions but gets no media traction: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news...ge-establishm/ And yet, countries that did institute a lock down, in a timely manner, have noticeably lower cases and deaths. (please note the phrase "timely manner") Italy did and lost many. Japan did not and lost few. Sweden is not out of line to her neighbors and yet still has some GDP remaining. There's no correlation. You can imply one as you will but it's not clear at all that such relationship exists. You might like this article from the Financial Times: https://www.ft.com/content/6b4c784e-...2-648ffde71bf0 They show excess mortality statistics for countries where they are available, and plot versus infections per million on "lockdown day". In the absence of a legal lockdown, they use the day when transit usage fell to 50% of pre-pandemic levels. It's not clear to me how comparable the "infections per million" figures are, given the wide variation of testing capabilities over space and time. They claim to find a correlation between early lockdown and lower excess deaths, but their points are very widely scattered. Spain comes off worst in excess mortality, followed by the UK, and then Italy. Food for thought: https://www.ft.com/content/6b4c784e-...2-648ffde71bf0 Regarding testing, I read a report yesterday interviewing RNs who have tested both positive and negative on different days, back and forth, for weeks. I don't know but I'm reasonably certain that any conclusion based on large population testing is inaccurate. BTW I'm not disagreeing with you generally, just stopping short of accepting ratios dependent on current testing. I have read several news articles stating that some of the testing does not give accurate results. https://www.healthline.com/health-ne...u-have-illness https://abc7.com/covid-19-coronaviru...-core/6112137/ https://www.11alive.com/article/news...4-2297526c0cc0 -- cheers, John B. |
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