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Watch out for those whacky motorists
"There is no doubt that illegal drugs have a variety of very serious
negative effects on driving ability and that drug driving is a major killer on our roads. In the UK, around 18% of people killed in road crashes have traces of illegal drugs in their blood, with cannabis being the most common." (Brake). Attitudes have changed since the 1950s, that golden age:- http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/news...lory-days.html |
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#2
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
On 30/09/2010 11:18, Squashme wrote:
"There is no doubt that illegal drugs have a variety of very serious negative effects on driving ability and that drug driving is a major killer on our roads. Does the evidence support that assertion? Let's see... In the UK, around 18% of people killed in road crashes have traces of illegal drugs in their blood, with cannabis being the most common." (Brake). Ah, if that's the only evidence, then no it doesn't. We surely need also to know what proportion of people who /aren't/ killed in crashes have similar traces in their blood. If it's less than 18% then the conclusion /may/ be valid. If it's more than 18% then the opposite might be the case - illegal drugs might be having a positive effect. Attitudes have changed since the 1950s, that golden age:- http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/news...lory-days.html But those attitudes apparently have no basis in the evidence, as offered here at least. -- Matt B |
#3
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
On 30 Sep, 14:08, Matt B wrote:
On 30/09/2010 11:18, Squashme wrote: "There is no doubt that illegal drugs have a variety of very serious negative effects on driving ability and that drug driving is a major killer on our roads. Does the evidence support that assertion? *Let's see... In the UK, around 18% of people killed in road crashes have traces of illegal drugs in their blood, with cannabis being the most common." (Brake). Ah, if that's the only evidence, then no it doesn't. We surely need also to know what proportion of people who /aren't/ killed in crashes have similar traces in their blood. *If it's less than 18% then the conclusion /may/ be valid. *If it's more than 18% then the opposite might be the case - illegal drugs might be having a positive effect. Attitudes have changed since the 1950s, that golden age:- http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/news...s/7962526/Sir-... But those attitudes apparently have no basis in the evidence, as offered here at least. Well you could say that 4 out of 5 people killed in crashes don't have illegal drugs in their bloodstream so the drugs do have a positive effect. On the other hand:- "A 2005 study carried out in the UK, Norway and the Netherlands estimated that 10.8% of drivers stopped at the roadside for testing were drug users." and:- "More than 9 out of 10 drivers (92%) surveyed by Brake and motor insurer Direct Line in 2009 stated that they would support the introduction of a new anti drug drive law to enable prosecution of anyone driving on illegal drugs, without the need to prove impairment." Or you could tell us about your late uncle who always reckoned that he drove better after a few pints. |
#4
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
On 30/09/2010 14:36, Squashme wrote:
On 30 Sep, 14:08, Matt wrote: On 30/09/2010 11:18, Squashme wrote: "There is no doubt that illegal drugs have a variety of very serious negative effects on driving ability and that drug driving is a major killer on our roads. Does the evidence support that assertion? Let's see... In the UK, around 18% of people killed in road crashes have traces of illegal drugs in their blood, with cannabis being the most common." (Brake). Ah, if that's the only evidence, then no it doesn't. We surely need also to know what proportion of people who /aren't/ killed in crashes have similar traces in their blood. If it's less than 18% then the conclusion /may/ be valid. If it's more than 18% then the opposite might be the case - illegal drugs might be having a positive effect. Attitudes have changed since the 1950s, that golden age:- http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/news...s/7962526/Sir-... But those attitudes apparently have no basis in the evidence, as offered here at least. Well you could say that 4 out of 5 people killed in crashes don't have illegal drugs in their bloodstream so the drugs do have a positive effect. You could, but that still wouldn't demonstrate anything useful. You need to know what proportion of people _not_ killed in crashes have drugs in their blood - to know whether those with drug traces were under or over represented in the fatalities. What would you assume if you were informed that 10% of all crash fatalities in Scotland had red hair? Would you automatically assume that the having of red hair was the cause of those crashes? Or would you find out what proportion of the rest of the population had red hair before jumping to conclusions? On the other hand:- "A 2005 study carried out in the UK, Norway and the Netherlands estimated that 10.8% of drivers stopped at the roadside for testing were drug users." Why were they stopped? If they weren't randomly sampled it tells us nothing. and:- "More than 9 out of 10 drivers (92%) surveyed by Brake and motor insurer Direct Line in 2009 stated that they would support the introduction of a new anti drug drive law to enable prosecution of anyone driving on illegal drugs, without the need to prove impairment." Bizarre, especially if they don't know whether those with drugs in their blood are more likely or less likely to be involved in a crash. -- Matt B |
#6
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
On 30 Sep, 18:54, "Just zis Guy, you know?"
wrote: absolutely be treated as a selfish vice, but these halfwits need to be humoured). What do you know about humour? You're a cyclist. -- Halmyre |
#7
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
On 30/09/2010 19:48, Halmyre wrote:
On 30 Sep, 18:54, "Just zis Guy, you wrote: absolutely be treated as a selfish vice, but these halfwits need to be humoured). What do you know about humour? You're a cyclist. Is he? I know he's claimed to be in the past, but he's never provided any evidence for it, unlike Guy who's posted pics of him, his bikes, him riding them, etc. (in case it's not sufficiently obvious, you were replying to a forgery) |
#8
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
Hi Clive :-)
Why did you post that **** to URCM yesterday? You do realise that everyone's had to be de-whitelisted now thanks to you? In article , says... Is he? I know he's claimed to be in the past, but he's never provided any evidence for it, unlike Guy who's posted pics of him, his bikes, him riding them, etc. Who are you referring to? (in case it's not sufficiently obvious, you were replying to a forgery) How do you know? Chapman being anti-motorist: what's new? |
#9
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
On 30 Sep, 15:06, Matt B wrote:
On 30/09/2010 14:36, Squashme wrote: On 30 Sep, 14:08, Matt *wrote: On 30/09/2010 11:18, Squashme wrote: "There is no doubt that illegal drugs have a variety of very serious negative effects on driving ability and that drug driving is a major killer on our roads. Does the evidence support that assertion? *Let's see... In the UK, around 18% of people killed in road crashes have traces of illegal drugs in their blood, with cannabis being the most common." (Brake). Ah, if that's the only evidence, then no it doesn't. We surely need also to know what proportion of people who /aren't/ killed in crashes have similar traces in their blood. *If it's less than 18% then the conclusion /may/ be valid. *If it's more than 18% then the opposite might be the case - illegal drugs might be having a positive effect. Attitudes have changed since the 1950s, that golden age:- http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/news...s/7962526/Sir-.... But those attitudes apparently have no basis in the evidence, as offered here at least. Well you could say that 4 out of 5 people killed in crashes don't have illegal drugs in their bloodstream so the drugs do have a positive effect. You could, but that still wouldn't demonstrate anything useful. *You need to know what proportion of people _not_ killed in crashes have drugs in their blood - to know whether those with drug traces were under or over represented in the fatalities. What would you assume if you were informed that 10% of all crash fatalities in Scotland had red hair? *Would you automatically assume that the having of red hair was the cause of those crashes? *Or would you find out what proportion of the rest of the population had red hair before jumping to conclusions? Red hair in their bloodstream? On the other hand:- "A 2005 study carried out in the UK, Norway and the Netherlands estimated that 10.8% of drivers stopped at the roadside for testing were drug users." Why were they stopped? *If they weren't randomly sampled it tells us nothing. How do you know that they weren't randomly stopped? I suspect that some of these Euro-researcher chappies may be almost as smart as you are. and:- "More than 9 out of 10 drivers (92%) surveyed by Brake and motor insurer Direct Line in 2009 stated that they would support the introduction of a new anti drug drive law to enable prosecution of anyone driving on *illegal * drugs, without the need to prove impairment." Bizarre, especially if they don't know whether those with drugs in their blood are more likely or less likely to be involved in a crash. I don't know. May be commonsense and a lifetime of experience lay behind such prejudices. Certainly in the old days it was felt better for the patient to be drunk than the surgeon. |
#10
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Watch out for those whacky motorists
"Just zis Guy, you know?" gurgled happily,
sounding much like they were saying: I see this as another excellent opportunity to punish people for driving Yes, we know. |
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