#181
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Global Warming
On Apr 16, 7:38 pm, "Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote:
wrote in message "Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote: I could go on but the problem is that people who don't understand engineering are always discussing it as if it was so simple. I know exactly what you mean. Some people who don't understand CO2 in the atmosphere are always discussing it as if it was so simple. Ahh, then you know what I mean. So can you refer me to your atmospheric CO2 paper? Wait a second. I'm the one who's saying it's complicated. You're saying it's simple. Since you're the one saying it's so simple, by your own argument you need to demonstrate that you understand it. Where's your paper? |
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#182
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Global Warming
On Apr 17, 10:20*am, wrote:
On Apr 16, 7:38 pm, "Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote: wrote in message "Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote: I could go on but the problem is that people who don't understand engineering are always discussing it as if it was so simple. I know exactly what you mean. Some people who don't understand CO2 in the atmosphere are always discussing it as if it was so simple. Ahh, then you know what I mean. So can you refer me to your atmospheric CO2 paper? Wait a second... SchwartzSoft deliberately left that feature out. Sent to /dev/null fer sure. |
#183
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Global Warming
On Apr 17, 12:57 am, Ryan Cousineau wrote:
As for growing economies, please contemplate the economy of 1908 and its capabilities. For that matter, contemplate the air quality in US and UK industrial centres at that time versus now. It gives some hope that economic growth will be sustainable, cleaner, and more probable than environmental measures which, last time I checked, many doomsayers swear up and down will be insufficient to solve the problem! Now you're just making stuff up. I: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_d...ndard_of_livin... d_GDP am not: http://www.ace.mmu.ac.uk/Resources/T...tage_4/Air_Qua... making this up: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest You're making stuff up about what "many doomsayers swear up and down will be insufficient," and "more probable." |
#184
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Global Warming
In article ,
"Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote: "Michael Press" wrote in message ... The scheme had been to design each plant from the ground up. What is called for is a single design, with options. Err, please don't tell me that you have an engineering background. Putting extra effort on a good design then repeating and improving it is better than many borderline designs. The latter approach is good for bicycles, automobiles, and computers. (Today there is really only one or two home dishwasher designs. My pump developed a leak, and I went to the vendor who sold me a pump-motor assembly that drops into all home dishwashers. Cost half a new dishwasher, but saved dumping the old, or paying for an installation job I can do myself.) When the design is as complex, easily buggered up, and dangerous as a nuclear power plant, I prefer the design team be all the best available. And they can put a good team on day to day running procedures to avoid the "Damn, red light is on again. Will somebody shut it off?" syndrome. You know the plant in Monroe, Michigan almost blew its top? -- Michael Press |
#185
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Global Warming
On Apr 2, 3:06 pm, "Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote:
So then Nova has a program telling us that the Sun is actually cooling off. I wonder how long before we're hearing cries of GLOBAL COOLING again? Can you say, normal cyclic variations? http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...w123418D68.DTL |
#186
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Global Warming
In article ,
Robert Chung wrote: On Apr 2, 3:06 pm, "Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote: So then Nova has a program telling us that the Sun is actually cooling off. I wonder how long before we're hearing cries of GLOBAL COOLING again? Can you say, normal cyclic variations? http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...onal/w123418D6 8.DTL And what's more, there were no great "cries of GLOBAL COOLING" when Ku Ku the Clown claims there we _________________________ The supposed "global cooling" consensus among scientists in the 1970s ‹ frequently offered by global-warming skeptics as proof that climatologists can't make up their minds ‹ is a myth, according to a survey of the scientific literature of the era. The '70s was an unusually cold decade. Newsweek, Time, The New York Times and National Geographic published articles at the time speculating on the causes of the unusual cold and about the possibility of a new ice age. But Thomas Peterson of the National Climatic Data Center surveyed dozens of peer-reviewed scientific articles from 1965 to 1979 and found that only seven supported global cooling, while 44 predicted warming. Peterson says 20 others were neutral in their assessments of climate trends. The study reports, "There was no scientific consensus in the 1970s that the Earth was headed into an imminent ice age. "A review of the literature suggests that, to the contrary, greenhouse warming even then dominated scientists' thinking about the most important forces shaping Earth's climate on human time scales." _________________________ http://tinyurl.com/2lvdxo -- tanx, Howard Whatever happened to Leon Trotsky? He got an icepick That made his ears burn. remove YOUR SHOES to reply, ok? |
#187
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Global Warming
On Apr 17, 12:57 am, Ryan Cousineau wrote:
" wrote: But there are a lot more people in the world who live within 50 miles of the coastline than there are total Canadians. (In 2000, 49% of US pop. was within 50 miles of coastline.) Of course, we could just encourage all those people to move inland or failing that to newly-arable Canada and Russia. That shouldn't cost much. And, building all those new houses will employ many construction workers. PWhat is the estimated amount of sea level rise? Bangladesh has a very specific problem because half the country is less than 3' ASL. I live considerably less than a mile from the coastline, and my house is 50' ASL. Doomsayers seem to be reaching a consensus estimate of 28-34 cm on sea level rise. That's about a foot. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise How many new houses will need to be built, really? Well, lots, but like I said, I think more-frequent flooding in areas with changing rainfall patterns will be a problem long before actual sea inundation. I used to live just north of Washington DC. My apartment was well above even the local creek level, but after a heavy rain my bike route to work could easily be flooded out, and it wouldn't always drain quickly, in part because the Potomac is a tidal estuary and the whole area gets fairly soaked by a combination of rain and tides. It wouldn't take much rise to put the Jefferson Memorial footings underwater for several days a year and flood the basements of many buildings on the National Mall. If you live close to a coastline, water rise will change your life even if it doesn't flood your house. But unpredictable weather extremes are a more pressing issue. This is also why I think studies that say "Maybe warming will have economic benefits!" are whistling past the graveyard. It's unpredictable, and rainfall patterns may change which could be a huge problem. Also, I live in Arizona now and if it gets any hotter and drier, I'm going to move up there and steal your water, water down your beer, and pester you by continually asking you to explain the jokes on the Red Green Show. As for growing economies, please contemplate the economy of 1908 and its capabilities. For that matter, contemplate the air quality in US and UK industrial centres at that time versus now. It gives some hope that economic growth will be sustainable, cleaner, and more probable than environmental measures which, last time I checked, many doomsayers swear up and down will be insufficient to solve the problem! Now you're just making stuff up. I: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_d...ndard_of_livin... d_GDP am not: http://www.ace.mmu.ac.uk/Resources/T...tage_4/Air_Qua... making this up: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest It was the "It gives some hope" that I was responding to. It reminded me of this old S. Harris cartoon where two boffins are at a chalkboard. One has written a set of formulae, and in one of the middle steps, "Then a miracle occurs ..." http://www.sciencecartoonsplus.com/g...ath/math07.gif Ben |
#188
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Global Warming
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#189
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Global Warming
In article
, Robert Chung wrote: On Apr 17, 12:57 am, Ryan Cousineau wrote: As for growing economies, please contemplate the economy of 1908 and its capabilities. For that matter, contemplate the air quality in US and UK industrial centres at that time versus now. It gives some hope that economic growth will be sustainable, cleaner, and more probable than environmental measures which, last time I checked, many doomsayers swear up and down will be insufficient to solve the problem! Now you're just making stuff up. I: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_domestic_product am not: http://www.ace.mmu.ac.uk/Resources/T...tage_4/Air_Qua... making this up: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_interest You're making stuff up about what "many doomsayers swear up and down will be insufficient," and "more probable." http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/20...tysupplement.p olitics "Kyoto is insufficient and has many faults, But at least there is a basis for moving forward." Tell me that isn't emblematic of the Kyoto Accord's general reception. Admittedly, none of the doomsayers suggest Kyoto would be the full solution, but the Kyoto protocol, in practice, seems mentioned in the breach more than the observance. As for more probable, I'll concede I'm too lazy to back that one up. But that graph that looks like a hockey stick is extraordinarily compelling: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:W...1-2003_A.D.png Those claiming this curve is about to go S-shaped had better have some pretty good arguments. My essential sense of things is along the lines of the Evil Economist model of problem-fixing, which is essentially that it will cost less (economically speaking, this is practically synonymous with "be easier") to create prosperity in Bangladesh and start selling them houses on stilts than it will to make the kinds of changes to human civilization that will result in a dramatic and relatively rapid change in CO2 emissions, which is the sort of thing that will pay major dividends 100 years from now. Also, I'll bet the Bangladeshis will like my "you guys have to start getting rich" plan better than your "blame this weather on China and America" plan. Well, maybe they won't, but their kids will have Playstation 9s and whine to their parents about not being allowed to borrow the family flying car. So it works out. -- Ryan Cousineau http://www.wiredcola.com/ "In other newsgroups, they killfile trolls." "In rec.bicycles.racing, we coach them." |
#190
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Global Warming
In article
, Robert Chung wrote: On Apr 2, 3:06 pm, "Tom Kunich" cyclintom@yahoo. com wrote: So then Nova has a program telling us that the Sun is actually cooling off. I wonder how long before we're hearing cries of GLOBAL COOLING again? Can you say, normal cyclic variations? http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2008/04/17/national/w123418D68.DTL Yes! Keep up the good work, people. -- Ryan Cousineau http://www.wiredcola.com/ "In other newsgroups, they killfile trolls." "In rec.bicycles.racing, we coach them." |
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