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#51
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 20, 8:28*pm, Fred Fredburger
wrote: SLAVE of THE STATE wrote: On Jun 19, 4:38 pm, Fred Fredburger wrote: Every month or so, Bill comes across something that validates one of Tom's thousands of arguments. Then he gets confused and thinks it validates them all. Or something, I don't get it. If the we-meme operates strongly enough, then confusion is not erased but automatically bypassed. Yep. Works that way with the them-meme too, though. "[T]he people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders... It works the same way in any country." -- Hermann Goering |
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#52
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 22, 9:00*pm, "
wrote: On Jun 21, 4:35 pm, Bill C wrote: *You're making the argument that progressives and environmentalists haven't called for alternative energy/fuels?? Not at all. *Wind, solar, running your Microbus off used vegetable oil. *It's just that right now, biofuel mostly means corn-based ethanol, and apart from some early misguided enthusiasm, I don't think there are many serious environmentalists who think that is a good idea. *It doesn't reduce emissions in the long run and it's basically a way to subsidize farming conglomerates that already grow too much corn. As far as CO2 emissions, the carbon cycle is far shorter for biofuels. Even trees used/cut for heating/cooking are only 100-200 years in cycle. For something like sugar cane ethanol, the capture/ release cycle is probably less than a year. So a net emission in the long term is near-zero for such a fuel, provided the processing does not get supplementary energy from ultra-long cycles from things such as fossil oil/coal/gas. Other energy sources have their own tradeoffs (rich greenies would rather put wind farms where they don't have to look at them, etc) but that has always been the case. Oil had tradeoffs too. *It's just that oil was so valuable that if oil was under some land, you could just pay the owners to leave, or pay off the powers that be to let you steal it. *That goes on with ANWR drilling too. *The effect on the oil supply will be minimal, but some people will make bank. You're worried Santa Claus's view might be ruined on his once-a-year ANWR flyover? No one is trying to "steal" ANWR because no one really wants it other than oil prospectors. It essentially comes under lockean homesteading. |
#53
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 23, 12:39*pm, SLAVE of THE STATE wrote:
On Jun 22, 9:00*pm, " wrote: On Jun 21, 4:35 pm, Bill C wrote: *You're making the argument that progressives and environmentalists haven't called for alternative energy/fuels?? Not at all. *Wind, solar, running your Microbus off used vegetable oil. *It's just that right now, biofuel mostly means corn-based ethanol, and apart from some early misguided enthusiasm, I don't think there are many serious environmentalists who think that is a good idea. *It doesn't reduce emissions in the long run and it's basically a way to subsidize farming conglomerates that already grow too much corn. As far as CO2 emissions, the carbon cycle is far shorter for biofuels. *Even trees used/cut for heating/cooking are only 100-200 years in cycle. *For something like sugar cane ethanol, the capture/ release cycle is probably less than a year. *So a net emission in the long term is near-zero for such a fuel, provided the processing does not get supplementary energy from ultra-long cycles from things such as fossil oil/coal/gas. I haven't looked into it very deeply, but my understanding is that is the problem - the energy costs of growing and processing all that corn are significant and paid in fossil fuel. Biofuel might be a good idea at some point, especially since fossil fuels are a limited resource, but I think its present form has problems. If it wasn't for govmint subsidies, Midwestern corn ethanol would be undercut by cheaper Brazilian sugar cane ethanol. Aside from the questionable environmental issues (Brazilian clearcutting), you, Salma Hayek, and I probably all agree on the undesirableness of these govmint subsidies. (Obama disagrees - I'm shocked, shocked to discover that he isn't perfect in all respects!) Other energy sources have their own tradeoffs (rich greenies would rather put wind farms where they don't have to look at them, etc) but that has always been the case. Oil had tradeoffs too. *It's just that oil was so valuable that if oil was under some land, you could just pay the owners to leave, or pay off the powers that be to let you steal it. *That goes on with ANWR drilling too. *The effect on the oil supply will be minimal, but some people will make bank. You're worried Santa Claus's view might be ruined on his once-a-year ANWR flyover? *No one is trying to "steal" ANWR because no one really wants it other than oil prospectors. *It essentially comes under lockean homesteading. It is an Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, not an Arctic National People Refuge. The whole point of it is that nobody wants it. Other than oil prospectors. With my "steal" comment, I was thinking more of land in the lower 48. As far as I know, farmers, Indian tribes, LA landowners and other such people sometimes got dispossessed when oil was found. And no, I haven't seen "There Will Be Blood" yet. I get plenty of that on training rides. Ben |
#54
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 23, 1:59*pm, "
wrote: On Jun 23, 12:39*pm, SLAVE of THE STATE wrote: On Jun 22, 9:00*pm, " wrote: On Jun 21, 4:35 pm, Bill C wrote: *You're making the argument that progressives and environmentalists haven't called for alternative energy/fuels?? Not at all. *Wind, solar, running your Microbus off used vegetable oil. *It's just that right now, biofuel mostly means corn-based ethanol, and apart from some early misguided enthusiasm, I don't think there are many serious environmentalists who think that is a good idea. *It doesn't reduce emissions in the long run and it's basically a way to subsidize farming conglomerates that already grow too much corn. As far as CO2 emissions, the carbon cycle is far shorter for biofuels. *Even trees used/cut for heating/cooking are only 100-200 years in cycle. *For something like sugar cane ethanol, the capture/ release cycle is probably less than a year. *So a net emission in the long term is near-zero for such a fuel, provided the processing does not get supplementary energy from ultra-long cycles from things such as fossil oil/coal/gas. I haven't looked into it very deeply, but my understanding is that is the problem - the energy costs of growing and processing all that corn are significant and paid in fossil fuel. Biofuel might be a good idea at some point, especially since fossil fuels are a limited resource, but I think its present form has problems. I have not dug deeply either, since I only care in an energy-geek sort of way. But I have heard it repeated quite often that the corn ethanol payoff is about a dead zero. (You put in what you get out. 1- for-1.) I saw a special this past weekend that sugar cane ethanol processing is seven times better than corn (7-for-1). If processing energy was supplied by nukes or wind, then there is a net zero in the long term. (True even for corn ethanol.) I don't know how much CO2 a forest absorbs (the rate) compared to a converted-to-crop field. (On an equal acre basis.) If it wasn't for govmint subsidies, Midwestern corn ethanol would be undercut by cheaper Brazilian sugar cane ethanol. Midwestern corn ethanol would be nearly non-existent except for Livedrunk parties and shellac thinning. Aside from the questionable environmental issues (Brazilian clearcutting), you, Salma Hayek, and I probably all agree on the undesirableness of these govmint subsidies. (Obama disagrees - I'm shocked, shocked to discover that he isn't perfect in all respects!) That Obama dude is an empty suit. Other energy sources have their own tradeoffs (rich greenies would rather put wind farms where they don't have to look at them, etc) but that has always been the case. Oil had tradeoffs too. *It's just that oil was so valuable that if oil was under some land, you could just pay the owners to leave, or pay off the powers that be to let you steal it. *That goes on with ANWR drilling too. *The effect on the oil supply will be minimal, but some people will make bank. You're worried Santa Claus's view might be ruined on his once-a-year ANWR flyover? *No one is trying to "steal" ANWR because no one really wants it other than oil prospectors. *It essentially comes under lockean homesteading. It is an Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, not an Arctic National People Refuge. *The whole point of it is that nobody wants it. *Other than oil prospectors. And so they should not be precluded from working land that no one else wants. With my "steal" comment, I was thinking more of land in the lower 48. *As far as I know, farmers, Indian tribes, LA landowners and other such people sometimes got dispossessed when oil was found. * I'll bet you'd find the biggest and baddest stealing always took place with the helping hand (and even sanction) of guvmint. And no, I haven't seen "There Will Be Blood" yet. I did. The property transfers were legal, that I remember. There is the question of a promised donation to a church. But that story is not really about land-stealing and even oil. It is about a strange individual with arrested general development and yet knows how to do one thing very well. It was also about other people with problems. It was depressing really. I did not like it. |
#55
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TK was exactly right. OT
"SLAVE of THE STATE" wrote in message ... I don't know how much CO2 a forest absorbs (the rate) compared to a converted-to-crop field. (On an equal acre basis.) ---------------------------- Forests (and crops) being predominately deciduous vegetation, how much CO2 do they actually absorb? Is there a measured difference in CO2 from one season to the next? I am under the impression that the oceans do a majority of CO2 absorption, although there are studies claiming that oceans' CO2 uptake has been reduced by reaching saturation points, simultaneously increasing the water's acidity. |
#56
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 19, 7:36*am, Bill C wrote:
While just about everyone lined up and relentlessly hammered on him, with just a few allowing they had some doubt, he was the one who was right on the money. *Hope he doesn't hold his breathe waiting for folks to admit being mistaken, since I happen to like having him around. http://tinyurl.com/6mnu2p New study to force ministers to review climate change planExclusive Official review admits biofuel role in food crisis Julian Borger and John Vidal The Guardian, Thursday June 19 2008 Article historyBritain and Europe will be forced to fundamentally rethink a central part of their environment strategy after a government report found that the rush to develop biofuels has played a "significant" role in the dramatic rise in global food prices, which has left 100 million more people without enough to eat. more there Bill C A few things that have me perplexed: 1) the earth stopped its most recent warming cycle in 1998 2) the earth cooled enough in the last few years to give back all the warming from the previous century 3) the oceans stopped heating roughly 7 years ago, and have begun to cool 4) the earth's warming cycles correspond almost perfectly with solar activity, but not so perfectly w/ human behavior or CO2 emission levels or CO2 atmospheric levels 5) I saw just recently that a scientist from Boulder is being paid to research the ice-melting patterns in Greenland. Funny thing, the icecap in Greenland is melting from the bottom, where it is NOT exposed to higher atmospheric temperatures. Why would ice melt from the bottom, and not at the surface where exposed to a "hotter atmosphere"? 6) why won't you folks just admit that while there may be changes in earth's climate, it is not due to human influences and it is not directly related to CO2 emissions. One more thing, recent calculations have shown that if all the tax increases that the Dali Bama has proposed take effect, the marginal top tax rate will increase from 39 percent to over 56 percent. Do we really want the government taking over half of every dollar to spend on some poorly run, poorly regulated, inefficient program designed to do nothing but redistribute the wealth of those who can and will work to those who won't work, for the purpose of buying their votes with our money??? |
#57
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 23, 2:53*pm, SLAVE of THE STATE wrote:
On Jun 23, 1:59*pm, " wrote: I haven't looked into it very deeply, but my understanding is that is the problem - the energy costs of growing and processing all that corn are significant and paid in fossil fuel. Biofuel might be a good idea at some point, especially since fossil fuels are a limited resource, but I think its present form has problems. I have not dug deeply either, since I only care in an energy-geek sort of way. *But I have heard it repeated quite often that the corn ethanol payoff is about a dead zero. *(You put in what you get out. 1- for-1.) *I saw a special this past weekend that sugar cane ethanol processing is seven times better than corn (7-for-1). *If processing energy was supplied by nukes or wind, then there is a net zero in the long term. *(True even for corn ethanol.) Wait, there's a better way! http://www.thenation.com/doc/20080707/ehrenreich "This is the humane alternative to biofuels derived directly from erstwhile foodstuffs like corn. Biofuels, as you might have noticed, are exacerbating the global food crisis by turning edible plants into gasoline. But we could put humans back in the loop by first turning the corn into Doritos and hence into liposuctionable body fat. There would be a reason to live again, even a patriotic rationale for packing on the pounds." It's RBR Fattie Masters meet Fight Club. It is an Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, not an Arctic National People Refuge. *The whole point of it is that nobody wants it. *Other than oil prospectors. And so they should not be precluded from working land that no one else wants. "Want" is a funny word, isn't it? The way you use it there is an excluded middle - you either want something, or don't want it, leaving it valueless. I don't personally want or wish to possess the mountains a few miles from my house, but that doesn't mean I think the state should sell off the park to people who will bulldoze the saguaro for condos. With my "steal" comment, I was thinking more of land in the lower 48. *As far as I know, farmers, Indian tribes, LA landowners and other such people sometimes got dispossessed when oil was found. * I'll bet you'd find the biggest and baddest stealing always took place with the helping hand (and even sanction) of guvmint. Yes, I agree. People paid or persuaded govmint to help them take land for oil. Before that they did it for water (Owens Valley, Hetch Hetchy) and before that they did it for ranches, and before that they did it for gold. It's the story of the American west - we discovered alchemy, turning gold into condos. Ben |
#58
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 23, 8:24*pm, wrote:
A few things that have me perplexed: 1) the earth stopped its most recent warming cycle in 1998 2) the earth cooled enough in the last few years to give back all the warming from the previous century 3) the oceans stopped heating roughly 7 years ago, and have begun to cool 4) the earth's warming cycles correspond almost perfectly with solar activity, but not so perfectly w/ human behavior or CO2 emission levels or CO2 atmospheric levels Perhaps the reason you're perplexed is because you haven't looked at the data: http://anonymous.coward.free.fr/temp/hadsst2gl.png http://anonymous.coward.free.fr/temp/temp-co2-spots.png |
#59
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 23, 10:01*pm, Robert Chung wrote:
On Jun 23, 8:24*pm, wrote: A few things that have me perplexed: 1) the earth stopped its most recent warming cycle in 1998 2) the earth cooled enough in the last few years to give back all the warming from the previous century 3) the oceans stopped heating roughly 7 years ago, and have begun to cool 4) the earth's warming cycles correspond almost perfectly with solar activity, but not so perfectly w/ human behavior or CO2 emission levels or CO2 atmospheric levels Perhaps the reason you're perplexed is because you haven't looked at the data: http://anonymous.coward.free.fr/temp...-co2-spots.png Very pretty charts. I suppose you'll have us believe that a 0.4 degree change in surface temperature is major, when the experts say that it's not surface temps that matter. Oh, wait... you're trotting out the data that supports your believes, regardless of conflicting data. |
#60
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TK was exactly right. OT
On Jun 23, 9:28*pm, wrote:
On Jun 23, 10:01*pm, Robert Chung wrote: On Jun 23, 8:24*pm, wrote: A few things that have me perplexed: 1) the earth stopped its most recent warming cycle in 1998 2) the earth cooled enough in the last few years to give back all the warming from the previous century 3) the oceans stopped heating roughly 7 years ago, and have begun to cool 4) the earth's warming cycles correspond almost perfectly with solar activity, but not so perfectly w/ human behavior or CO2 emission levels or CO2 atmospheric levels Perhaps the reason you're perplexed is because you haven't looked at the data: http://anonymous.coward.free.fr/temp...//anonymous.co... Very pretty charts. *I suppose you'll have us believe that a 0.4 degree change in surface temperature is major, when the experts say that it's not surface temps that matter. *Oh, wait... you're trotting out the data that supports your believes, regardless of conflicting data. Hmmm. You claimed "that the earth cooled enough in the last few years to give back all the warming from the previous century." The first plot showed that not to be true. The SST temperature is still almost 1 degree celsius warmer than a century ago. Second, that's about 0.4 degrees celsius worth of warming in about 25 years -- so yeah, that's pretty major. Third, you claimed that the Earth "stopped its most recent warming cycle in 1998." The data show that 1998 was an extreme blip but that warming has continued since then. Fourth, you claim that "earth's warming cycles correspond almost perfectly with solar activity, but not so perfectly w/ human behavior or CO2 emission levels or CO2 atmospheric levels." The second plot shows global sea-land temperature, solar activity, and CO2 level. I'd say global temperature corresponds much more closely to CO2 level than to solar activity. No wonder you're perplexed. Denial will do that. |
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