Wheels and tires

On Wed, 25 Mar 2020 20:45:42 -0500, AMuzi wrote:
On 3/25/2020 7:40 PM, John B. wrote:

Given that the virus "new case" rate in the U.S. is now the highest
in the world (as of March 26, 2020, 00:12 GMT) the question of
whether the restaurants go out of business because of a shutdown or
whether they go out of business because their customers catch the
virus is probably immaterial.


Sure of that?

We're a large nation so having a large number may not be a large rate
(as compared with, say, 60 million Italians).

Updated hourly:

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

You can look at cumulative confirmed cases globally and by nation, some
data broken down to the county level, as well as by daily increase. The
US's current daily increase is very steep- about 20% daily in the past
few days and accelerating as expected. Thus far we are not "flattening
the curve" significantly since many of those people were infected before
the advent of social distancing, etc. If the measures are successful,
they will start to show up visibly in the trend curves in another 1-2
weeks. By then we'll be at about 200,000 infected Americans at the
current rate. Hopefully the rate of infection slows soon!

Had Trump been more on the ball and willing to listen to people who are
actually competent, there might have been a more effective response
sooner. But like so many Republicans, he values money more than lives.

The good news for Americans thus far is that the case fatality rate in
the US seems to be about 1/3 that of the world at large. That may
change as folks get into what seems to tend to be the worst parts of the
illness (days 7-10). And mst hospitals are not yet overwhelmed in the
US, except I would imagine in New York and the northeastern seaboard
they are seeing that.